Keep an eye on Connecticut and the surrounding states. Both our casinos are still operating as normal with no intent on shutting down. Still have thousands of guests flooding in a day, many international or from New York and Massachusetts.
If we get a massive outbreak here, you'll know who to blame.
I unironically believe florida and texas are probably teeming, but conservative ideology right now is to pretend the virus is a liberal hoax/propaganda and refuse to do things like testing. Where as liberal states with robust health systems are most likely to be doing mass tests.
New York City is about to become Italy 2, so I'd pin a huge outbreak there rather than CT