There is only one correct answer

There is only one correct answer.

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50%

100% because I gemmed in Weakness Exploit

50%, just take the first hit as a guaranteed crit and you can easily see there are two options

Crit, No Crit
No Crit, Crit
Crit, Crit

1/3

75

This

Nocrit nocrit?

This is correct.
You only get 50% if the question says "the first hit is a crit" or "the second hit is a crit". If it's not specified, the only possibility ruled out is HH so the chance is 1/3.

Stop posting intentionally ambiguous/debatable maths threads.