2020 Election Map

How likely is this?

Post your predictions below
270towin.com/

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Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=wyMupb6IyH4
npr.org/2020/01/19/797721971/lawsuits-over-voting-machines-in-pennsylvania
heritage.org/voterfraud/search?state=AZ
nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/9-states-where-rules-voting-have-been-changed-or-challenged-n1026886
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

hahaha get a load of this newfag starting out with an actually reasonable prediction

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This is my prediction if the election WERE HELD TODAY. Trump would need anyone of the Blue-Gray tilt states to win.

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Why would Nebraska be even remotely close? Or Iowa for that matter?

Virgina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Maine, and Wisconsin changed to red, and we have a winner.

Nebraska proportions EVs as 2 statewide and 1 per 3 congressional districts. the Congressional District around Omaha is competitive. Obama won it in 2008

>WV
>blue

Man you are clueless

so he would win one of PA or Michigan if not both

chad prediction right here

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PA will be red after this coronachan shitshow.

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People are going to be pissed about the corona shit show. ALL RED.

Michigan is probably gone for Trump and I think PA would be tilt Red if Biden weren't a native son of pennsylvania. I think if he calls Biden out for being against Fracking (he isn't) and anti-union (he isn't) he could win but I think MN is a better opportunity than PA but Klobuchar campaigning all over MN complicates that.

AZ is going to be a nail-biter and I think it might be his best bet. now the campaign has enough money to be everywhere but if Corona goes on for months, not being able to do big rallies is going to be a disaster for Trump

my prediction is that it will be pretty much identical to last time, except the circled areas are toss-up. Trump will have to win 2 out of 3 to stay prez.
Biden has advantage in PA cuz he's born there and MI since Detroit nogs will come out if Obama tells them too.

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anons are underestimating how wicked close AZ is going to be in 2020.

digits confirm this prediction

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> state
> color
YEAH RIGHT

there it is.

you know can show that with the stripes?

it was a joke, retard. here's my actual not-a-meme prediction

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Checkem for a opposite map

If he takes Nj he takes all of Maine.

didn't know that. care to elaborate?
also pretend there is a circle on AZ there and trump now has to win 3 of 4

Trump isn't winning Nevada

Trump probably loses Nevada but wins in the House on a 269-269 tie.

>oregon
>virginia
holy shit lmao youre mental

He only has to win one of those three brainlet

AZ is a suburban state and was closer than Iowa in 2016. due to immigration and trump being poison in suburbs, AZ is trending blue.

In the 2018 midterms, 5/9 representatives from AZ are now demorcrats and their senate race ended with a centrist corporate dem being elected Senator (Synema). Right now that astronaut Kelly is probably going to win the other senate race and the RCP polling shows Biden pretty solidly up. Now obviously i know

>inb4 "muh pollllzzzzzz!11111"

the point is clear that it's going to be a nailbiter and especially with the COVID stuff, AZ and the Rust belt is really where the election is going to be. Trump is probably favored in Florida and NC but it'll be competitive there too.

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Trump only has to win one of WI, MI, and PA if he holds serve everywhere else.

Biden bros...

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Dems make up such a small portion of the map. I think the media was able to get to people though. Blumpf might still win because biden is reretardeded

>youtube.com/watch?v=wyMupb6IyH4

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fuck AZ trump wins election. recount. he still wins. by. one. vote. US goes crazy salt mines explode. snails go extinct. assassination attempt. secret service in on it like with JFK. private secuity shoots to kill and stops the attempt. ayylmaos land on earth

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virginia is Biden Central. It's a solid suburban centrist blue state now. Trump has a better chance winning Nevada even

If Biden is even still the nominee by the election

this is my prediction

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The democrats barely won the Senate race despite the nation as a whole going D+9 in 2018. So Arizona was roughly R+8 compared to the national average. If Biden wins Arizona or even makes it a "nail biter" he'll be winning every other swing state quite easily

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Most accurate and likely possible one yet. I'd save that one OP. If they draft Cuomo it would look the same.

bro Virginia is beyond pozzed. Suburban DC sprawl into Northern VA has cucked the state in perpetuity.
t. MD fag who commute there

Oregon is optimistic but not impossible. Their population is small and concentrated in a couple smallish cities, and if Trump campaigned heavily he could actually win it. The margin by which Hillary won in Oregon is only slightly bigger than the margin by which Obama won Michigan in 2012 (which flipped as you know). You're delusional if you think Virginia isn't in play- Trump is much stronger with establishment cuckservatives than in 2016, and even then he only lost by 5 points

Why would PA flip? Because Biden was born there?

No way minnesota goes red before michigan

npr.org/2020/01/19/797721971/lawsuits-over-voting-machines-in-pennsylvania

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biden is a native son of PA

>AZ
heritage.org/voterfraud/search?state=AZ

What does that have to do with MI or MN?

The number of registered Dems in NC has declined 5% since 2016, Trump is a guaranteed lock there

This is probably right, maybe 1 or 2 off either candidate.
P.A will definitely be blue
Florida is a toss up
Texas will surprisingly vote Trump, considering the non-hispanic white population statistics & the election with Ted Cruz

o fuck thought u said PA not MI

Fuck off syrupfag, nobody gives a shit about your retarded opinion

>Trump vastly more popular than in 2016
>Against a trash opponent
>Opposition party completely divided with no enthusiasm

Any prediction where trump loses a state he won in 2016 is idiotic

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/9-states-where-rules-voting-have-been-changed-or-challenged-n1026886

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Its not that close AZ has always been purple but it tends to vote GOP for president.

Trump isnt less popular today in AZ than he was in 2016 and Biden is simply not nearly as popular as clinton was

I think Trump will easily win AZ again. although it will continue to be a swing state for many election cycles to come due to Californians moving in.

Trump won’t win MI or WI again that was amazing but Hillary was shittier.
He has to focus on PA hard.

Polls always oversiampledems.

>He has to focus on PA hard.
You guys are ignoring that everyone in the state is currently pissed at Wolf for his shitty quarantine orders. The Dems are going to get a weak turn out.

If a state didnt vote for Hillary in 2016 why would they vote for Biden in 2020?

Biden is the worst candidate ever run in american history he is literally senile everyone knows.

How mad are they

>muh soros

please the Dems have a far worse outlook for 2020 than they did for 2016 its not even funny

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>AZ solid blue

>Fuck the last 50 years of electoral data

lol

0% chance biden wins florida.

And there's no chance trump wins VA. Your map is horrible.

I get that you think that but most normies like Biden

>Michigan and Ohio blue

Close. Trump will carry PA and MI. Looks correct otherwise.

>most normies like Biden
i dont know of anyone who LIKES biden
historically the left only performs well when their candidate is someone they are really passionate about. if its luke warm to well hes the candidate its a loss. and biden is a fuckin loss

>The State of Chicago
>Red

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What are you fucking talking about

nobody likes Biden,

30% of the population is democrat partisans that will vote for anyone witha (D) but the other 70% of the country either like Trump or dont like biden enough to bother voting for him

Source: your ass

You were enough to give me a (you)
Thanks pedro

Basically this. That's why I'm predicting Trump will take the win again. Biden has no mainstream appeal other than "He's not Trump".