imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
The numbskulls who wrote this study, which is the sole basis of the authoritarianism going on right now, thought that our answer was to keep the quarantines going for over _EIGHTEENTH MONTHS_ until we got a _vaccine_ -- yes, a vaccine for a _seasonal flu_. I quote: "Intensive intervention will need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more.)"
On the other hand, these are the words of Dr Dick Sibley, a leading vet, in The Times last week:
"Casting doubt on the brilliance of the Imperial College scientists, he says that his heart sank when he learned they were advising the Government. Calling them a ‘team of doom-mongers’, he says their advice on the 2001 foot-and-mouth outbreak ‘led to what I believe to be the unnecessary slaughter of millions of healthy cattle and sheep’ until they were overruled by the then Chief Scientific Adviser, Sir David King."
Instead of using the only case-study we have, the Diamond Princess, as Dr John P. A. Ionannidis does, which reveals a death-rate of as low as 0.05%, the authors use mortality-rates from China to calculate a death-rate of as high as 4%. But there is no basis for taking this as a premise, and, as Dr Ionanidis says, "we must reject the use of mortality rates from China, Iran, Spain, and Italy to make projections about potential U.S. casualties." (statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/)
There is _no way_ at this early stage to tell whether somebody died of the coronavirus, or died and happened to get tested for the coronavirus before dying, as Dr Wolfgang Wodarg says. (youtube.com/watch?v=p_AyuhbnPOI) Indeed, according to Oxford University, half of us are already infected. Where are the results?
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