Happening Cancelled

based

>wave 1
this.
we're only in the early stages, there will be slowdowns and then back on rampage again. In Italy it will make at least 500,000 contagions

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will there be a wave every year next to the flu?

>implying amerimutts don't do that first

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you srs?

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Dare I say BASED?

nah but CLOSE

they get their hands all up in the pizzas they make between their organ grinder shifts where they handle monkeys

democracy and pandemia, what can go wrong(?)

Well stop it!!!

where is the top of the curve dumb fag
bitchute.com/video/WqaoMBoBUF8N/

Where are you guys getting these spaghetti charts? Are you making them yourselves? Why should I believe these?

I live pretty far from everyone I'm that close to, at the moment, so a bit of a moot point. It's really only for family/close friends. Not the cashier at the local grocery store or some shit.

Aren't the europeans being honest about it? Germany and norway have both stated they expect 50% of their population to be infected, and they anticipate 1-3% death rate. How is this controversial anymore? This is serious as fuck and if this trend holds globally we'll lose 0.5-1.5% of global population, ie. 38.5 million to 115 million. I know Yas Forums has gotten dumber recently but why all the debate?

Jesus. So much misinformation. Worst case scenario is a .6 mortality rate, but it's almost surely many times lower. This virus is a social experiment, and humanity has proven to be fully retarded.

>.6 mortality rate
that's like a several millions white people dead

>fits bottom half of the logistic
>no telling where the inflection point will come
>its over

lmao

I’m low key embarrassed that I took it seriously to be honest

I didn't plot the forecast, but here it is.

Attached: corona.png (576x396, 32K)

>honest about it?
Absolutely not. You say here that Italians are infected because they do not wash and kiss, but we will be sorry when it will be your turn. We'll do the math after the summer

Why the fuck does this graph have decimal places, for a second I was wondering how Corona was going to infect a few hundred million already dead people

the thing about italians being dirty is just cope. When it was just the chinese they were saying its because their bat eating bug people and no first world asian nation would catch it. Then korea happened and they said no white country would catch it, and now the cope about italy and spain is just more of the same.

People aren't emotionally prepared for whats coming and they are responding in the worst ways.

It also infects animals I heard. Expect to lose loved-ones.

fixed

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May Bosh bless their souls.

20% of symptomatic cases need to stay in the ICU for weeks to live.
How many ICU beds do you think these countries have?

kek

I'm very concerned for my pets. I will probably get infected and survive since I'm young, but I'm not so sure about my pets.

This. Leafmongrels are f*cked

Exactly

why is this affecting enemies of the jews more than others?

Underrated post

So sigmoidal?

>we're only in the early stages, there will be slowdowns and then back on rampage again. In Italy it will make at least 500,000 contagions

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Based mutt

i know fren. I was using the most conservative estimate in my post and its still a hundred million dead this year.

Think about the aids epidemic in africa. Think about the genocide that will occur when their witchdoctors tell them to eat albinos and purge rival tribes.

think about the 3rd world countries that don't have anywhere near as many respirators as us.

And think about this becoming seasonal and clipping 1-3% of global population until we get immunity.

Yeah, upon further testing, I think the fit is fucked though. I initially tested fitting to part of a logistic curve, and the fit was perfect without noise. When I added even the tiniest bit of Gaussian noise, the estimate for the max number of infections dropped like mad. I think having a growth rate that is even less than 1% off the true growth rate completely fucks the estimate. For every random seed I try, it seems to drop the estimate by a couple orders of magnitude, and never raise it, so I think we're actually fucked.

you are a fucking retard, the gradient is way more than 3,000 deaths you dumb motherfucker

I can tell you right now that the death rate up here will be 20%. Hospitals are already over 100% capacity in most provinces and our economy was already going down the shitter.

Thank fuck I have guns, because shit is going to be chaos.

>that's like a several millions white people dead
A small price to pay for the herd immunity needed for open borders and endless rapefugees from shithole countries, user.

Our elites are good people, almost saint like, since they intend to flatten the curve for us.

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According to that chart we should be at 60,000 infections tomorrow

The reason we're seeing such a high death rate in China, Iran, and Italy is because their long tissue was damaged by the 5g frequencies that Huawei uses. Trump right again about Huawei and the filthy chinks.

>>gradient is way more than 3,000 deaths
What the fuck does this even mean, leaf? You have no idea what gradient means.

Exactly. This is still going parabolic.

You guys just have to wait a few days. When shit hits the fan here it'll be big. We can't even deal with everyday diseases and the population think corona-chan is a meme. We don't enough hospitals, doctors or anything like that.

The governor of São Paulo already said they're going to test only critical cases. They already know the numbers are going to be high and they don't even bother trying to hide it.

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Bahrain has 212 cases currently, and you really think that this is going to be seasonal? you are one dumb mother fucker

all the warm countries are getting cases, stop living a dream you shithead

Wishful thinking.

logistics are super sensitive to small changes in variables.

People washing their hands more and being less likely to gather will significantly reduce the rate/probability of infection and cap the logistic off earlier.

Unfortunately, Italians don't wash their fucking hands, and are hypersocial. You tell them they have to wait a week to go drinking and they look at you like you holocausted the entire pizzeria.

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>Italians are infected because they do not wash and kiss
Italians are infected because our (((elites))) needs open borders.

We will all suffer the same, since fuck whitey.

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FYI, I absolutely recommend prepping regardless of any estimates. I'm gonna be a NEET with my 7 gallons of homemade chili and 20 lb rice. Should last me a while.

you should just get some supplies, and go walk into the jungle for a month or two. then come back and you'll probably be king

This is true. I wish everybody could just stay home for a couple weeks.

So it’s not spreading as efficiently in cold climates?

Shill spotted. This has a 44% death rate and its going to infect everyone.

>According to that chart we should be at 60,000 infections tomorrow
Mild cases are not registered, so 60.000 tomorrow sounds about right.

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>44% death rate
As of March 9th, it hadn't killed anyone under 39 in Italy. 65+ people are totally fucked though.

>under 39
kek

After a total country lockdown that's going to lead to a massive recession. For a virus that is likely going to be a yearly event. This like the GFC or 9/11
>oh that wasn't so bad
...Except the knock on effect is a mass happening stretched over decades.

It spreads more efficiently in cold climates. It takes longer for phlegm residue to dry out enough to deactivate the virus.

True but they don't let niggers fuck their wives.

>Italians are infected because our (((elites))) needs open borders.
finally someone
to let everyone in without controls is not a mistake but a choice of the democratic government, clearly commanded
I wouldn't be surprised if other democratic governments made the same "mistakes" in the next few days...

>logistics are super sensitive to small changes in variables.
Yes.
I calculated the Norwegian rate, and it's 1.3 per day.
If we start with 7.3 it's 156 and on the 13th, it was 996
Then 996=156*(x^7)
Taking the ln gives ln(996) = ln(156) + 7 ln(x)
ln(x) = (ln(996)-ln(156))/7
x = exp((ln(996)-ln(156))/7)
x= 1.303

Infected increases with 1.3 per day.

Going forward in time 7 days from yesterday.
6249.7 = 996*(1.3^7)
14 days from yesterday.
39216
21 days from yesterday
246076

so it might look like Norway managed, since the quarantines will start to work then. IF the gov numbers are correct.

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>Mild cases are not registered, so 60.000 tomorrow sounds about right.
could work

>He doesn't know
user, I....

>to let everyone in without controls is not a mistake but a choice of the democratic government
All the western nations do this, and only go for flattening the curve, but not in the same way.

Denmark and Norway does by infecting a good number, and then cklosing down everything, while you bongs, the Swedes and the Finns go for herd immunity by infecting children.

All aim to just flatten the curve, since our elites needs open borders to shithole countries in the future as well.

What strategy Italy did, IDK, but they failed at flattening the curve and will have a new million infected per day, when they reach the peak in 14 days if the graph I posted above is correct.

John Hopkins says 0.6%

6 times the cost of the regular annual influenza. 646k deaths from influenza. Influenza plus covid best case scenario is 4 million deaths. Probably higher because third world will not be able to handle at all.

Implying this won't be a good time to boogmobile down to the scene of the crime.

Australia needs rapid testing like Korea and to shut borders like New Zealand and shut schools too. Maybe even more stuff, for a month or so. Stretch this part out.

A nothing burger and my profits are hurt
inb4 jew
t. rideshare bro

>could work
So what happens to Norway, if we have 10 times the detected, infected?
2.460.760, and that is half the population, so we might also be fucked, just like you guys.

The PC multicult in charge of the west, used chinese numbers, and the chinese lied about everything, except that they stopped the spread.

I think Western Europe will much the same clusterfuck as Italy.

see? that shit is already flatlining

>Australia needs rapid testing like Korea and to shut borders
It might be to late. as It takes three weeks for anything to have effect.

It's called Darwinism.

You sound like a nigger.
Pic related is you.

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