If anyone is curious to see where Covid will end, here is some data I threw together: This illustration plots the number of Covid deaths per day, for China, Iran, Italy, and the United States. The peak of China's curve was about 26 days ago. So we can infer from China's peak where the other countries will peak.
Based on China's data, it looks like Iran, Italy and the U.S. are peaking in the next week, give or take a few days. The situation in the U.S. is complicated by the fact that the outbreak is concentrated in a single nursing home in Kirkland. (Over half of the 41 nationwide deaths were at a single address.) IE, the U.S. may tick up if it spreads to the east coast or the midwest in larger numbers.
TLDR: The data appears to indicate that the worst of Covid will be in the next week, and then things will start to taper off. In two weeks, the worst of this may be behind us. YMMV. Check out the data.
Still, it is advised that you buy up all the TP and bottled water and vitamin C you can. Masks are all gone by now, too late, but it's not too late to get in on the last of the supplies.
Cameron Howard
assuming Chinese data is correct. USA curve doesn't fit the data. Ohio says they have over 100,000 cases.
James Price
Neck yourself you quack. It will peak in one to two months and will only grow worse.
Nicholas Rodriguez
The problem with using data from China is that democratic countries could never do what they have done to stop the virus... also the data is probably made up since you know, communist party and all
Colton Gonzalez
most retarded post ever award. It's a pandemic now it's not just gonna taper off down to china numbers no other country on earth is gonna lock people in their homes by the millions.
Every mathematical model says 40-70% of the world will contract it at some point without a vaccine. It's too endemic for it to subside without either magical herd immunity (not likely for a coronavirus) or a vaccine.
James Wilson
lol u dumb nigger China still isn't recovering, this is going to last several months
Hudson Allen
>Using China communist's data
Hudson Cook
>trusting chink >trusting ohio equally retarded
Owen Gonzalez
>assuming Chinese data is correct Assume they're full of shit like communist always are and we've been telling you from the start.
Luke Cook
glownigger thread, like we don't know it's a bioweapon already.
Get the fuck out.
Jason Wright
And why does Germany brace for 70% (50 mil) infected when it practically stopped in China at less than 100k?
Juan Price
>premise is based off of China data
That does not translate because it’s probably not accurate. Also the measures they took are not possible in the US. The health population is different
Hudson Lopez
>So we can infer from China's peak where the other countries will peak. China actually had strict quarantines and measures to combat the spread. USA is doing nothing at all, so I don't think they're comparable at all.
Parker Thomas
We've already had the coronavirus for 6 months.
Leo Carter
Because Germany doesn't plan on doing anything to stop it, whereas the Chinese government did. German government is anti-German and wants their citizens to die.
Adrian Rodriguez
Let me guess it was a democrat saying that, one can only wonder the motive... Where are the 3,500 deads?
Kayden Lewis
>most retarded post ever award. It's a pandemic now it's not just gonna taper off down to china numbers no other country on earth is gonna lock people in their homes by the millions. I'll bet you a thousand dollars that you're wrong. If you're interested, I'll put up $1000 that says that the Covid in Washington peaks in the next fourteen days, and deaths per day taper off after that.
I've also put my money where my mouth is: - I've traveled to three states in the last three days and shook a ton of hands - I've been on six airplanes this week - I am booked on a cruise to Italy
I'm not just making this shit up, I believe it 1000%: Covid will peak in Washington in the next 14 days, and will taper off from there.
china data numba 1. american cia pig dog virus have little effect on the glory of ccp.
Adrian Torres
You base your model off of chink numbers. What makes you believe the chinks?
Easton Richardson
china quarantined the shit out of it's citizens. you can't use their graph as a comparison when the other countries aren't doing the same thing.
Jayden Stewart
The numbers don't make sense. Initial infections were spread by Chinese before the public became aware of it and those Chinese can spread it further everywhere in the world than in China itself?
Connor Rodriguez
>the government of a country wants the country to die You're literally retarded.
Jack Moore
>Assumptions based on one sample (curve of china's data) >Believes in accuracy of these generated projections when existing data used to make the fit fits poorly and is too preliminary to make an accurate projection. Go back to stats class faggot.
Nathan Nelson
>So we can infer from China's peak where the other countries will peak.
Grayson Thomas
Fucking liar. How do I get that money when your bullshit is proven false
Luke Mitchell
Yeah great, model garbage data and then apply it to completely different unrelated samples. You wasted your time
Tyler Scott
Nooooooo! My toiletpaper stocks!
Bentley Reed
The German government is explicitly anti-German. Have you not been paying attention to anything over the last 20 years? The German government flat out admits that they want Germans to die and to be replaced with subsaharan niggers.
Jack Foster
>I threw together Yeah you're a legit virologist
James Wilson
>in the next 14 days Peak won't hit until May or thereabouts.
Eli Gonzalez
I'll take that bet faggot
Hunter Reed
Which cruise, nig?
Dylan Jones
>COVID-19 will peak next week, then taper off Thanks nigger, I wouldn't have guessed otherwise.
It's science. 157% of the world population will contract the virus and 90 percent of them will die from it at least once. Stop ruining my apocalypse high.
>not "Khajiit has many things for weary traveler" Whoever made that had one job and they fucked it up.
Justin Powell
>based on chinas data hahahahahaha
Chase Rogers
this is true but also democratic countries aren't sucking in black lung levels of co2 with a pack of cigarettes on top and a side of batman stew
William Diaz
>"its a nothing burger" >lots of things around the world happen that are significant >"HM, okay okay its a something burger but its like nothing still because it will be like gone within 2 weeks lol, here look at my made up stuff"
we are still not buying it you gdp obsessed glow in the dark, government zogbots lol
Gavin Wood
>Ohio claims to have 90% of the global cases Uh huh
Ryder Morales
Reverse the two statements in your second sentence, as the order they are in now is contradictory. Thank you.
Jordan Taylor
yes, whenever i'm ill i go to my wealth fund manager for the best advice.
Eli Howard
Why would I play a game with someone who has no intention in keeping their end of the deal? Likewise, why would you play a game who has no intention of playing their end of the bargain?
>COVID-19 will slow down temporarily and then pick up again and keep going until herd immunity is finally established about 4-6 months from now there OP I fixed it for you
Nolan Gray
>Undertale UI Ultra-cringe!
Carson Young
Call me when it reach 1% of spanish flu numbers
Thomas Bell
>- I've traveled to three states in the last three days and shook a ton of hands - I've been on six airplanes this week - I am booked on a cruise to Italy Are you carrying Corona?
John Foster
>- I am booked on a cruise to Italy No refunds.
Logan Watson
This I've been coughing up blood all night
Daniel Stewart
>Newsom executive order allows California to commandeer hotels, motels to house coronavirus patients California is preparing to seize private property.
Samuel Thompson
IS THIS A VIOLATION OF THE NAP
WHAT IF I OWNED THAT HOTEL
Jose White
LARPer. Show your receipts with personal info blacked out
Jack Hernandez
> Chinese data Lies. Nobody smarter than a brick would believe it for a second
Charles Lee
Anybody else experience a sharp increase in there sense of smell as coronavirus takes hold?
I can smell fucking tap water now
Caleb Rodriguez
>Ohio says they have over 100,000 cases. Wait, what?
Samuel Morales
How many cases do you think we *really* have? Got a bit of the sniffles? Bit of a dry cough?
We're not really testing anyone, latest is that anyone being put in quarantine isn't getting tested either unless they're developing serious breathing problems.
Kevin Ramirez
dear nigger-tier dumbfuck. the wuhan coronavirus has not even begun to rip theough populations in the united states and europe. in may the case doubling will create millions of additional cases every four days. hundreds of millions will be infected in june & july. by then hospital systems will be nonexistent - no treatment will be available for broken legs, strokes, heart attacks, cancer, diabetes, and coronavirus. at that timepoint coronavirus will have a 12% case fatality rate (which it currently has in the absence of ICU availability. you are so FUCKING STUPID IT HURTS. tell your handlers that they are also pathetically stupid
>12% case fatality rate source? you can't just throw these numbers out there like that without providing at least your general thought process for how you arrived at them
