/cvg/ - Corona Virus General #1845

(updated list march 10 2020)

The biggest concern right now is not the current CFR, but what the CFR will be when medical systems get overrun.
About 10% of infections need an IC bed and assisted breathing. If those IC beds and breathing machines run out, we have a serious problem and the CFR may shoot up.

We can use the growth factor of 1.2 (observed in i.e. Italy) to compute the number of days until the number of infections exceeds the number of IC beds.

# days until overrun = CEIL((log(# IC beds * (1 - % of IC beds taken)) - log(# infections))/log(growth factor))

I compute the following:
d00 - number of days until medical system overrun GIVEN 0% of beds are taken
d50 - number of days until medical system overrun GIVEN 50% of beds are taken
d75 - number of days until medical system overrun GIVEN 75% of beds are taken
d90 - number of days until medical system overrun GIVEN 90% of beds are taken

Note that d00 is the most optimistic scenario, and very unrealistic. Most countries have a shortage of IC beds on a normal day, especially in urban areas.
In the Netherlands d90 is more realistic. Friends who work in the medical sector have told me this. You can decide for yourself which estimate you find most reasonable.

Country (#infections / #beds)
>d90/d75/d50/d00

Italy (9172/8000)
>0 / 5 / 9 / 12 (Locally the medical system is already overrun. Field hospitals are being deployed)
Switzerland (374/ 1000)
>6 / 11 / 15 / 19
Sweden (248/700)
>6 / 11 / 15 / 19
Spain (1209/8000)
>9 / 14 / 18 / 22
Netherlands (321/ 1600)
>9 / 14 / 18 / 22
France (1073/5000)
>11 / 16 / 20 / 23
Belgium (239/2000)
>12 / 17 / 21 / 25
UK (321/5000)
>16 / 21 / 24 / 28
Germany (1176/25000)
>17 / 22 / 26 / 30
Luxembourg (3/200)
>24 / 29 / 32 / 36

You can google the number of IC beds per country yourself and check my computations.
I will keep updating these numbers.

For sources, comments and suggestions, please email: [email protected]
Thank you

>every state in the north east except Maine and us have a case
How? Are we so irrelevant even Corona Chan doesn’t care?

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really?

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

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Has Denmark been locked down yet?

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OH MY FUCKING GOD CORONA CHAN IS LITERALLY OUT OF MY WINDOW
FUCK FUCK FUCK PLEASE STOP STOP STOP

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH

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>Follow up doctors appointment today, after mostly being self isolated since I last saw her.

>Minute I walk in there's a 15 year old zoomer with flu-like symptoms blowing his nose.

>Receptionist lady tells me their computer has a balanace of almost $300 for me.

>"What for?" "Oh it doesnt say lol"

>Didnt pay it. Fuck American Shitcare and fuck America.

>Nurse Assistant does all her shit before seeing doctor. Doctor says everything is fine.

>Nurse assistant comes back for processing me out. Starts coofing a bunch.

>"Teehee sorry, just a dry cough!"

>As I walk out I hear her coofing more and more, and it's definitely not dry.

Well, all that prepping and isolatiing for fucking nothing, anons. I'm dead too, cause I got fat american high blood pressure and already shit lungs from when I caught whooping coofs in Chicago.

Ah well. Once I start getting worse I'm going on a spreading spree. New Mecico BTW.

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STOCK MARKETS REGAINING ALL OF YESTERDAYS LOSSES!!!! ITS NOT HAPPENING DOW 40,000 BY MAY FIRST. THIS IS JUST A FLU. FUCK OFF HAPPENERS

You don't
Current messaging is smooth out the peak

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New York anons post your videos. National guard going in to deliver supplies. Martial law in tact???

Paraguay has 2 cases now

finally is here the day of the pillows
boomers will crye like weeping willows
they don't fear corona and go outside
like they are young an life is a wild ride
they are shopping, filling their baskets
but soon enough they will be in caskets
when their lungs will fill with shit
the healthcare sistem will feel the hit
the pension fund will finally be safe
because 6ft under is boomers place

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mind if I save and post that?

Do they get all dressed up like that when someone gets the flu?

>Iran's media reports that the number of people who have died from alcohol poisoning rises from 22 to 44 with hundreds hospitalized --- after consuming bootleg alcohol in an effort to treat coronavirus (it was just an excuse to drink alcohol).

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The problem with the US betting on the weather advantage is that we have enough data now from trustworthy countries like Singapore to say with reasonable confidence that warmer weather apparently only reduces the virus's viable time outside of a body from a week to a couple of days. Without major intervention, it's quite possible the summer infectious rates in the US will still be putting us beyond hospital capacities.

why did it evolve so much in Washington? is this normal?

MAP UPDATE
MAP UPDATE

>be 3 days ago
>Abania stronk
How's that working out

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twitter.com/lookner/status/1237416436076773377?s=20

It's happening

>Be in Madrid, Spain (province 5 Million hab.)
>Yesterday they announced from wednesday every school and university is closed for two weeks
>Tomorrow we start teleworking.
>Now I'm at my job copying stuff and I'm bringing the harddisks home.
>I don't have to come here for a couple of weeks, I have my stash and I can work at home since I'm a programmer.
>Yesterday when it was announced there was a lot of people at supermarkets but there's no hysteria really, people are mostly calm.
>Feelsgoodman

1 single case in my city of 750k people and they decided to close all universities
glad they're doing the right thing

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Italian levels in 10 days fellow burgers

no that's illegal.

yeah fucking post it as a reply to his stupid horseshit if you can. Goddamnit he is such a stupid faggot it makes me puke

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Look a pasta bro, internet blackout claim untrue you fucking schizos.
Inb4 muh VPN

Still no confirmed cases here in MT. We may actually fare okay since a lot of people are autistic shut ins anyway.

>end of the world
>time to drink
better late then never

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Denmark is progressing almost exactly like Italy 2 weeks ago.

No, you just haven't started testing for it. Don't worry; it'll make its way to you

DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED
> DENMARK 262 CONFIRMED INFECTED

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Thread Theme
youtu.be/uMxb1Ymxs_w

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I'm starting to think this is all bullshit. Nothing is happening ffs. Where is the war? Why aren't people starving to death? Why aren't there riots?
Should have gotten a job rather than max out my cedit cards on this nothing burger.

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I TOLD YOU NIGGER

twitter.com/CNBC/status/1237417661476352006

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Does anyone have facts for Covid-19 or studies?
I saved this from the last thread
> The findings contrasted starkly with those from the 2003 outbreak of SARS in terms of viral load. "In SARS, it took 7 to 10 days after onset until peak RNA concentrations (of up to 5x105 copies per swab) were reached," the researchers wrote. "In the present study, peak concentrations were reached before day 5, and were more than 1,000 times higher.

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Every user in this thread will get an Isekai harem after death.

>NY DEPLOYS NATIONAL GUARD

>NY DEPLOYS NATIONAL GUARD
pix11.com/news/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases-continue-to-rise-statewide-cuomo-says-ny-has-highest-number-of-cases-in-u-s

weaken everyones immune system so we all show symptoms

warm weather (in the 80's) is still 3 months away bros. Especially for northerners. It will be all over the place by then

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Post one, get one

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It has been circulating in Washington for 6 weeks according to estimates.

Oh wow a responsible government. How unusual.

>be Russia
>lose your market to US Shale
>astroturf /cvg/
>try to mog OPEC with over-production
>get ass-raped by based Saudi price-cutters
You have 90 days Ivan
>“If you are Russia, it’s worth it for you to take a three-month price hit to see if you can knock out U.S. oil exports,” said Amy Myers Jaffe, an oil and Middle East expert at the Council on Foreign Relations. “They might be correct for three months but the shale never gets destroyed.”
I predict you get double-assfucked

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How big of a deal is that?

I mean, I've been consuming mass amounts of booze recently. It's either that or stay up all night with massive anxiety.

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Denmark is giving us the textbook example of
CASE
CASE
CLUSTER
CLUSTER
BOOOOOM

Thanks user now to terrify the normies with this news.

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Digits and virus is mutating to a zombie virus and apocalypse is coming

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>5 cases in city of 130k
>lol its just a flu bro
>its contained haha just keep acting like everything is normal and the problem will go away
i hate this country

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My university canceled all the lectures. Two weeks of furious masturbation here I come.

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Nuke the UK. (i.e. take out Islam in one shot)

I hope anons living in Iowa are prepped. We're about to get butt fucked by corona.
>Woman in council bluffs IA worked at a panera for DAYS, serving HUNDREDS of people
>On Saturday, she tested positive for KUNG FLU
The people she served are likely infected. At this point, they will have probobaly spread the virus asymtomatically to others.

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Are you retarded? There is no vaccine to any coronavirus, but after infection you are immune, dipshit

WORLD WIDE WARNING

WARNING ALL ITALIANS
THIS IS NOT JUST A COMPLEX BIOWEAPON

THIS IS AN EXTERMINATION
WE ARE BEING EXTERMINATED BY AN UNKNOWN ENEMY

CHINAS LEADERSHIP IS GONE OR COMPLETE PUPPETS

THEY HAVE EXTERMINATED 10 MILLION IN CHINA ALREADY

>ITALY EXTERMINATION TO START IN DAYS
>YOU WILL BE FORCED FROM YOUR HOME AND FROM HOSPITALS BY MILITARY INTO CREMATORIES AND EXECUTED
U MUST LEAVE

U MUST FLEE

THIS IS AN ASSAULT FROM WITHIN AND FROM THE OUTSIDE BY POTENTIALLY NON HUMAN FORCES

HUMAN EXTERMINATION IN PROGRESS

THIS IS NOT A JOKE
THIS IS NOT A DRILL
PLEASE FOR THE LOVE OF GOD FLEE ITALIANS

>THESE HOSPITALS WILL BE EMPTIED AS THEY WERE IN CHINA - every day hundreds at a time UNTIL THE ITALIANS ARE EXTERMINATED

FLEE ITALY

good job saving a thumbnail faggot

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How fucked is the US? Lmao

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You are going to die

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Lol

DOW is only up 0.62%

It has lost 858 points since it peaked early, or 3.51%

They tested for it
Once other places test more you'll see something similar

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They all better have masks and decontamination chambers.

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*COOF*faggot*COOF*

And normies will still not wear masks.

Nice pic of bestgirl.

Because Washington has every ethnicity from every country. Perfect cesspool for virus to evolve in rapidly.

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Ye

>7 billion people in the world
>110.000 people infected
>A few chinks and old people died
>OMG THE END IS NIGH!
stop posting this bullshit already, this faggot little virus won't cause a pandemic

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Wenn ich bitte sage gilt das dann auch? Der Joker wäre cool.

Rural and suburban retards are the least at risk. City folk are gonna die tho

Sad thing is, this is fucking true.

Welp!

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National Guard is basically the military a US State can deploy when an emergency is too great for their police forces to handle. New York is about to collapse soon.

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They’re essentially containing an entire county and preventing people from entering or leaving. I’d say this will likely be the same in major cities like Seattle if things truly get that bad
It also means shit is REALLY bad there

youtube.com/watch?v=rOTKk9OZCbQ

wow is this gay as fuck lol

>
WORLD WIDE WARNING

WARNING ALL ITALIANS
THIS IS NOT JUST A COMPLEX BIOWEAPON

THIS IS AN EXTERMINATION
WE ARE BEING EXTERMINATED BY AN UNKNOWN ENEMY

CHINAS LEADERSHIP IS GONE OR COMPLETE PUPPETS

THEY HAVE EXTERMINATED 10 MILLION IN CHINA ALREADY

>ITALY EXTERMINATION TO START IN DAYS
>YOU WILL BE FORCED FROM YOUR HOME AND FROM HOSPITALS BY MILITARY INTO CREMATORIES AND EXECUTED
U MUST LEAVE

U MUST FLEE

THIS IS AN ASSAULT FROM WITHIN AND FROM THE OUTSIDE BY POTENTIALLY NON HUMAN FORCES

HUMAN EXTERMINATION IN PROGRESS

THIS IS NOT A JOKE
THIS IS NOT A DRILL
PLEASE FOR THE LOVE OF GOD FLEE ITALIANS

>THESE HOSPITALS WILL BE EMPTIED AS THEY WERE IN CHINA - every day hundreds at a time UNTIL THE ITALIANS ARE EXTERMINATED

FLEE ITALY

After the NG was deployed in NY it’s going to crater.

Guess we'll see. They didnt release what they would be used for. Could be anything from helping with testing, transport of supplies or persons infected, to potential roadblocks or guarded quarantine if need be

>cluster boomers

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good song. based neofolk poster

It's already x10 more than Trump has done to try and stem the spread

>and National Guard will be brought in to help deliver food and clean
Wait, are they already forcing people to stay at home at New Rochelle? Or just who are they delivering food to?

Für defacto-bayern gibts heute für lau

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Checked

Michigan fag here. Biding my time waiting for the first confirmed case.

incredibly, probably ahead of spain even

5 off
you suck

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Post your backlog.

HAPPENING
>HAPPENING
HAPPENING
>HAPPENING
HAPPENING
>HAPPENING
HAPPENING
>HAPPENING

7th from the left, 2nd to last row
(and constantly reposting this lewd because it's the best so far)

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You guys where saying “80,000 million infected, who cares lol”
A few days ago.

Dont you understand what this function means? e^(x)

My coworkers all laughed at me today for wearing gloves
>Oregon

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>does not include accurate test counts performed at state, local, private and commercial labs
aka 99% of tests

Read the paste bin and links in OP fool

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>Verbal report from the heart of the Corona darkness - Italy

files.catbox.moe/3ns6c1.mp4

it's too late lads, we aren't escaping this

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High temperature (26 degres C and more), High humidity (over 80%), and sunlights, are 3 things Coronachan hates.
You might be eligible for a coronachan-free pass.
I live in a very hot country a lot of humidity right on the Atlantic cost, we have only 2 cases so far it has been 10 days since the first case was spotted.

Same but 3 weeks+ spring break
Feels good man
Unless i die and sheit since I already have a lot of symptoms

NY is mobilizing their National Guard

nbcnewyork.com/news/local/nyc-adds-5-new-covid-19-cases-tri-state-total-more-than-triples-in-days/2319688/

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With quarantines for everyone like they did in China and now Italy.

these threads are very much appreciated but please, properly inform yourself before you spread misinformation

>Patients can get reinfected, no immunity

Patients do not get reinfected. There are different strains of the coronavirus with varying severity. Once you ‘recover’ or rather, your immune system defeats a strain, you got antibodies against this one strain, but the other ones as well as possible coming mutations of the strains, can infect you again

South Korean nationwide testing of 1100 per million shows
0.1-0.6% lethality. 10% hospitalization and thats almost all elderly or people with existing lung issues.
This is a raid, manufactured panic based on (((WHO))) using inadequate sampling to draw conclusions.
Motive? The want more money from the UN and gullible gender studies majors who failed statistics will give it to them.
OP is a nigger tier retard as are anyone panicking about this under the age of 70.

OP and his Soros raiders still pushing this as an apocalypse are nigger tier retards.

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So did they really quit testing in Sweden and from now on only test health care workers?

>JUST

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Boomers at work say is nothing and follow trump's words to a T

I am taking every precaution i can but this guys are going to get me killed

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The ring is striking
Their move is on
Will there be anything left?

Q

A state deploying the National Guard the closest a state gets to deploy a military for their own reasons. To deploy it for just a flu means its not just a flu. Last step they can take: martial law, AKA lockdown.

New York fags, brace for martial law soon.

Who cares why boots on the ground is going to fuck with normies heads. It just went from just the flu bro to oh shit I am going to die in a matter of seconds

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Boomers are most at risk

Is going to the drive test center to get my license a bad idea now?

Still no white deaths NOTHINGBURGER

Member when Hurricane Sandy's eye passed directly over New Castle County, then the other end of the eye opened on its way out, leaving us completely untouched?

>twitter.com/lookner/status/1237416436076773377?s=20
120,000 now and thousands more infected who dont yet know

The American Government deploying troops onto it's own citizens is a big fucking deal. Means marshal law in some form is not far behind.
>GET OUT OF NY NOW

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>Estonians are not Jew-

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I still think there is something to the high temperature hypothesis. Singapore has not yet had the exponential explosion of cases we have seen in other countries. Check out the descriptions of the cases...looks like most of them came from church gatherings (everybody hugging), a dinner function and a construction site. moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/six-new-cases-of-covid-19-infection-confirmed

it's in paraguay now. fucking paraguay. that means it's everywhere. epidemiologists are predicting 60-80% worldwide infection rate.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgin_soil_epidemic

>The Ministry of Health advises Slovenian citizens in Italy to return to their homeland

Come home white man

Where in MI? I'm in metro Detroit. Theres about 400 suspected in MI. I'm also waiting for confirmed cases then I'm bugging out

Wash your dick.

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>why did it evolve so much in Washington?
honestly, my guess is the racial make up of the US is less homogeneous than asian countries, so the virus is going to mutate with more diverse genetic recombinants
but I'm no biologist

My first fucking quads ever and I wasted it on agreeing that my country is infested with muzzies.

People been saying yesterday that the virus does permanent damage to the body even if your young. Any sources that explain this?

People spend more time indoors, WA (west) is Very Humid, temperatures have been in the 50s perfect petry dish

I got a coof boys, it's over for me

>American government

Its the state government retard

Social distancing- Lock everyone up against their will immediately. It would be uncomfortable to say the least, but mortality rate would be orders of magnitude less than it will be

Only 4000 people have died? wtf this is boring

You know.. Black Plague and rampant STDS are all over Los Angeles.

>>astroturf /cvg/
Wouldn't be surprised desu
But Brad Parsacles little retards are also here in force

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You can easily put a few of those in your pockets

amazing.

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Quads follow the truth user

Seattle, Washington here. Yes your are correct. The whites are in Pierce County which is south. King County (Martin luther King) all niggers, mexicans, gooks, muslims, and arabs.

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yeah sure, so you be saying they need to spread it more you ayy lamo fuck?

gtfo this board, its only for humans.

Sources: their ass

Moldova update
>All schools are canceled till April
>12 Confirmed cases
>Borders are now closed to all foreigners besides Moldovans

But I thought Project Zephyr was burger only.

Sorry too hear, but you did jinx it.

>right next to china
>only 47 cases and 1 death

yep good thing we dont have niggers AA in our hospitals

duplicate file

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nigger detected

This looks like the average Dutch person's lungs in a few weeks.

What does that even mean?
Spain, explain yourself.

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>Boomer leftist tier statistocs failure
Math and statistics are not a political issue. But ypur inbreeding is everyones problem.
See Now enjoy being btfo.

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China and SK cases are slowing down

Nothing will happen

Is this the central or local government’s doing? Though glad to see that Poland takes incoming plagues as seriously as rapefugee waves.

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Prove to me this is not a nothingburger

>prono
>relevant to conversation
checks out. no need to report.

As far from what I’ve heard a 20+ young couple went to Italy to “enjoy” life and didn’t care about the virus then returned with the virus saying its only a flu

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>Receptionist lady tells me their computer has a balanace of almost $300 for me.
Lol. Imagine owing money at the doctor's office.

i noticed you don't have ball crusher yet here you go lad

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What grade filters do I need?

Is p95 enough?

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If you are interested in a professional response, look to germany and south korea. Very fast testing and isolation --> new cases already dropping.

oh yeah, my mistake

And AIDS is all over SanFran, no?