This is a calculated model of growth of the spread of this virus.
If this trend continues, we'll be seeing 1 MILLION people infected in the next 30days. 10 million in 47 days. 100 million in 64 days and 1 fucking billion in 81 days. This is called an exponential model of growth, in which this virus is spreading with a 6% death rate globally. This is going to be worse than the Spanish flu. Say goodbye to your grandparents, old parents and friends with weak immune because it's too late to stop this. Washing your penis isn't going to help you if half the people around you have a virus that sometimes does and doesn't show symptoms.
We're fucked. This is a black swan event we didn't predict and now millions of people are going to die.
Its my penis, ill wash it as fast and as much as i damn well please thank you very much.
Parker Cox
nobody cares nigger praise Jvpiter
Jackson Clark
This a log. Not exp growth
Colton Anderson
Lol you dumb nigger.
Parker Butler
dude, weed cures the virus. they're deleting threads about it. I'd get into it but I'm going to do some dabs of GG#4 rn, lol. it's over I guess.
Jaxon Miller
R0 and doubling time are context depended. So this projection is worthless.
Levi Gutierrez
Literally just cut back on l-arginine and increase your l-lysine intake.
Samuel King
We do these numbers to impress on people WHY they need to take this shit seriously and shut down events, stop traveling, wash their hands, and stay home if they're sick, etc. etc. Clearly there are actions we can do to slow and even stop transmissions. The other thing your chart cannot show is how those who are infected will actually end up responding. Until this is proven to be a bioweapon, there is no reason to believe it's anything more than another cold, which most people will shrug off with little to no effort.
Jacob Garcia
It will only be locally exponential. It will be a sigmoid curve and nobody knows how bad it will be yet but probably pretty bad since our governments worship money and not the health of its people.
Isaac Foster
if those are new strains of ganja then yep, that'll do it.
How could you NOT predict that this would happen? It was a fucking guarantee that the first real crisis Trump had to deal with would be a catastrophe because HE. IS. INCOMPETENT.
Anthony Reyes
people are ALREADY infected 24 day incubation period without showing symptoms also false negatives
Lincoln Edwards
>millions if people are gunna die In all fairness, those who will die will most likely oldfuck/fatfuck/sickfuck. So, nothing of value will be lost.
Adam Roberts
This virus, probably brought to you by a gaggle of Jews intending to crash the world economy and sieze more assets as well as depose Trump and all other populists.
Cameron Morales
It will go away in the northern hemisphere in a month or two with the coming of summer, and then start to break out in the southern with the coming of winter.
Most experts say the vaccine is coming in 18 months MINIMUM
Nicholas Bailey
user... That chart shows linear growth.
Ayden Lewis
Glad our administration handled this so well and was able to quarantine the tests from the public #Trump2020
Luke Gonzalez
It's a log chart.
Tyler Anderson
>We're fucked. This is a black swan event we didn't predict Except we did predict it. The fucking retarded President dipshit just gutted the agencies that are responsible for preventing things like this, and didn't even start trying to do anything about it until it was already here and spreading. They made a fucking movie about EXACTLY this type of shit back in 2009 or some shit called Pandemic.
You guys deserve what is coming from this I hope you realize that, now you will see the result of your memery.
Adrian Roberts
Not on a logarithmic scale.
Kayden Thompson
I wish I had saved the tables that would get posted. I think China alone should have 15 million dead by now.
Ayden Lopez
yeah because that warm weather is really saving the middle east and south america
Holy shit 100 billion of us will be infected in 4 months??!!
Jaxon Wilson
>i can't work on public health issues to protect my nation cause nobody wants to pay me nigger, fuck you.
Isaiah Miller
Dumb nigger. If you would have actually watched the video you would know that is not going to happen. This growth is a scenario in which nothing changes. In the coming months, travel will be significantly limited and people will take extra precautions. Not saying it won't be bad (it already is), but the numbers as presented on this timescale are certainly not going to happen.
What the fuck are you talking about retard? Exactly. We knew this shit was possible since the fucking 80s. We just didn't do anything about it because Captain Retard has left half the fuckin government unstaffed.
Josiah Cooper
>he watched the video but didn't understand it That line would only continue that trend if the growth factor remains a ratio above 1.0 indefinitely, which is unrealistic but who knows when that inflection point will happen.
expert epidemiologists are predicting anywhere from 25-80% of the Earths population contracting these virus. That's roughly 2-6 billion people. Are you an expert epidemiologist? Who are you to say otherwise?
It's just a big nothingburder - Some credentialless retard on the Internet
China locked down their entire country to control the spread.
Ian Hill
>closes the borders to Chinese and others to stop the spread >THAT'S RACISSS AND DO SOMETHING DRUMPF!!!!!!!!!!!!! Sure, it wasn't the Chinese and all drumpf. Can't tell if you're joking.
Carson James
I don't have those numbers. You show me.
Joseph Howard
>Now, post that information excluding the most relevant and accurate information for some reason. Why? The virus has been in China the longest, that means the data is more accurate because they have a longer data gathering period. You fucking retard.
Charles Baker
idc i bought plane tickets and im going on vacation when I get laid off and the economy tanks
Hunter Parker
>that means the data is more accurate >from China lmfao, oh he's serious nevermind
Dylan Perry
Death rate is even higher right now if you exclude China. In Italy 66% of closed cases have recovered and 33% have died.
Landon Hughes
I think he assumes Chinese don't wash their hands therefore they have higher rates.
Juan Cooper
>implying this won't be good for us in the long run Read about Europe shortly after the black plague. Tons of social and economic problems were solved. Hell this shit will probably hit nigs really hard because of their poor sanitation and cramped living conditions.
Jack Butler
The math is simple. The rate of increase is proportional to uninfected / total pop. What this means is that you need to have a meaningful percentage of all people infected before growth slows.
Jaxson Taylor
>if the growth factor remains a ratio above 1.0 indefinitely In any country that they do not put people on lock-down, it is going to continue. People are not panicking in the US, a few tinfoil heads like me are, but that is because we know the possible potential of this. They are still traveling, visiting their families, taking their kids to school and going to work. This is going to explode in the US because most people who get sick just continue on until they can't get out of bed, and then they go to the hospital once that happens and they are worried they are not "regular" sick.
Jose James
1. China lies 2. China enacted draconian measures that so far no other country has followed. The virus is going to play out completely differently in the rest of the world.
Leo Martin
None of these charts have been even fucking close to correct since they started, nothing burger
Colton Morgan
Why would the Chinese government lie about having a HIGHER fatality rate than the rest of the world dumbass?
Henry Sanders
durr math is hard it hurts my brain, therefor this is a nothingburger
Kayden Roberts
Good! I don't care anymore! I want this to happen. I welcome the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.
They could have 15 million dead. How would we know?
>"They'd tell us"
No they fucking wouldn't.
Jordan Thompson
>Death rate is even higher right now if you exclude China I highly doubt it. So many were dying in China because they didn't do anything for a month, and didn't tell the world for two months. They got so sick they died of the flu. Before they shut down half their country, it was killing a lot of people which wouldn't and hasn't happened in the 1st world. Read this post ffs. You're missing my point but thinking China would have accurate data is hilarious.
Ethan Howard
1. China would not lie about having a HIGHER death rate though, they would say its super low instead so they look better, and the rest of the world gets hit with an unexpectedly high rate. There is no reason for China to lie about having a higher death rate. 2. I agree, I expect the US to have its case numbers explode over the next month.
David Thomas
>its just the flu bro Dude seriously how long until you shills adjust your scripting to stop giving posters the opportunity to continue this meme?
I'm sure they wouldn't use this as an opportunity to get rid of a few undesirables. >you get the virus! >and you get one, and you, and you!
Eli Morris
>I highly doubt it. No, it is. According to the numbers. I can't remote view whats actually happening in China, but according to the numbers the death rate is currently higher if you exclude China's numbers. That number will probably go down because initially you are going to have a lot of quick deaths and slow recoveries. However, it might not decrease as far as you would hope because as hospitals become overloaded more and more critical ill people will receive little to know healthcare.
Dylan Nguyen
>This is a black swan event we didn't predict and now millions of people are going to die. I predicted this and posted about this last year
I'm a whistleblower from Liecht Weiss Group
Nathan Butler
Hmm... That's not what my model is saying at all.
Anthony Evans
>China would not lie about having a HIGHER death rate You aren't very bright. That's the point. If China reports fewer deaths then it makes the virus look less deadly. If you then include those statistics in your own it waters it down, making it look less deadly than it actually is.
Michael Turner
go on....
Carter Lewis
Did you miss the complete irony of people trying and claiming to predict when and how a black swan event plays out? Kind of contradicts it, or is more of a light gray swan?
Caleb Rogers
The term "log" indicates an exponent is at work. OP's graph is log base 10, so each jump in one on the y-axis means a 10 times increase in number. In terms of an equation, it would look like this: y=10^x.
