Leaked Documents Reveal US Hospitals Planning For 96 Million Cases 480,000 Deaths

>Nothingburger
>the population of some western states

Leaked documents reveal OP is hyped faggot

Didn't the HHS guy say they had roughly 1% of the PPE needed by thier estimates?

They leaked the lowball memo on purpose to prevent panic. The real death rate is just under 6%.

PUMP THOSE NUMBERS UP

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look at the image
this is based on 1-2% cases requiring ICU. its a month old. we now know 10% of cases do. adjusted we're looking at 4-5 million deaths before the hospitals get overwhelmed.

96 million cases
10% require icu = 9.6 million in ICU
5,400 ventilators in the entire country

Is this correct? These guesses are based on an Ro of 2.5. If it is actually something like 4 or 6 it's significantly worse than that

how'd you get out?

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>NOOOO YOU'RE NOT PREPARING ENOUGH
>NOOOO STOP PREPARING SO MUCH

I have doctors and hospital workers in my family, and whilst my area has a low number and no community spread, they said it's unavoidable to stop, rather you can just slow, and it's looking very, very bad.

They're all using the term pandemic in the upper echelons of the hospitals too.

r0 of 8

>0.5% cfr

Yes, that would be a nothingburger. Regular flu is like 0.2%

oh no!!! not the boomerinos

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This is what Leftists deserve for pushing manufacturing in communist shitholes who eat absolute shit.

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We got 500. And our ICU's and hospitals are already full, before a single patient has been admitted for corona issues.
Starting to think the deagle predictions aren't that far off.

medpagetoday.com/hospitalbasedmedicine/generalhospitalpractice/84845

This article suggests the US might not be able to handle a case load of 54,000 ICU patients.

The article in OP suggests 9.6 million ICU patients.

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If live expectation in the Us is 77 years and the population is 310 million. Wouldn’t that say 4 million deaths per year are normal. So basically it wouldn’t really be noticed in the death counts.

> only 480,000 deaths out of 96 million cases
>Nothingburger
There are fewer than 3 million deaths total in the US each year.
cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm
480,000 / (2,813,503 + 480,000) would be about 15% of the entire population of US deaths being attributable to COVID-19 alone.

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I'm a critical care nurse in california. They are planning to close a surgery center in my city and make it a dedicated coronachan hospital. They are also acquiring a large number of events.

hospitals operate for profit, so keep only the bare minimum equipmetn and supplies that allows them to treat the usual median amount of patients. they are already overcrowded and over capacity because of 3rd world illegals and refugees, even here in the USA. so they are going to be absolutely assblasted when 10% of the population needs ICUs. there just arent enough things to go around and those people will die, lots of them legal native citizens.

thanks globalism! open borders hooray!

Seasonal flu is 0.05

A large number of ventilators***

BI Prime
A leaked presentation reveals the document US hospitals are using to prepare for a major coronavirus outbreak. It estimates 96 million US coronavirus cases and 480,000 deaths.
Lydia Ramsey 1 hour ago
hospitalhospital
Getty Images
Hospitals are confronting the rising threat of the novel coronavirus in the US.
In a February webinar presentation hosted by

Our kike healthcare/hospital system will ensure the death toll will be much higher than it needs to be

>businessinsider.com/presentation-how-hospitals-are-preparing-for-us-coronavirus-outbreak-2020-3

Can some link to an article that isn't paywalled for christ's sake

the American Hospital Association, national healthcare experts from organizations across the US laid out what hospitals need to know as they face the virus that causes COVID-19.
Here's a look at the presentation, which includes estimated projections that there could be as many as 96 million cases in the US, 4.8 million hospitalizations, and 480,000 deaths associated with the novel coronavirus.
It also includes proper ways to identify potential coronavirus patients, isolate them, and keep caregivers at the hospitals informed.
Click here for more BI Prime stories.
The spread of the coronavirus outbreak in the US could push the healthcare system to its limits.

Hospitals are bracing for what could be millions of admissions nationwide as the virus spreads.

The American Hospital Association, which represents thousands of hospitals and health systems, hosted a webinar in February with its member hospitals and health systems. Business Insider obtained a copy of the slides presented.

The presentation, titled "What healthcare leaders need to know: Preparing for the COVID-19" happened February 26, with representatives from the National Ebola Training and Education Center.

The presentation contained an overview of the virus, projections and estimates of how much the virus might spread in the US, and proper ways to identify potential coronavirus patients, isolate them, and keep caregivers at the hospitals informed.

In particular, one slide presented by an expert included "best guess" estimates that there could be as many as:

4.8 million hospitalizations associated with the novel coronavirus
96 million cases overall in the US
480,000 deaths
Overall, the slide points out that hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times a severe flu season.
Those estimates come from Dr. James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center. They "represent his interpretation of the data available. It's possible that forecast will change as more information becomes available," a spokesman for Nebraska Medicine told Business Insider in an email.

The American Hospital Association said the webinar reflects the views of the experts who spoke on it, not its own.

"The AHA regularly hosts webinars and conference calls that include a variety of voices and opinions that seek to provide relevant information to professionals at hospitals and health systems that are on the front lines of preparing for and protecting their patients and communities," a spokeswoman for the AHA told Business Insider in an emailed statement. "The slides you shared reflect the various perspectives of field experts and should not be attributed to the AHA."

Here's a look at slides presented in the webinar.

The presentation featured "national experts from several health care organizations," the AHA said on its website. Its focus: getting healthcare leaders up to speed on how to prepare for the novel coronavirus, which causes the disease known as COVID-19
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.35.28 PM
AHA webinar
Source: AHA

MAs part of the presentation, the experts laid out facts about the virus, how hospitals can prepare, and details on what prevention tactics might be key to combating its spread.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.03 PM
AHA webinar
In attendance were experts from Massachusetts General Hospital, the University of Nebraska Medical Center...
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.10 PM

Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.51.34 P

Does this mean I will get off of work?

AHA webinar
... Emory University Hospital and HCA Healthcare.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.18 PM
AHA webinar
Some are affiliated with the National Ebola Training and Education Center, an organization created in the wake of the Ebola outbreak in 2015 to help hospitals and public health organizations safely manage patients with suspected and confirmed cases of Ebola and other pathogens.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.25 PM
AHA webinar
The presentation started with an overview of the novel coronavirus as of the end of February.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.34 PM
AHA webinar
At that point, there were 81,191 total confirmed cases around the globe. Now, more than 100,000 people have been infected.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.49 PM
AHA webinar
Source:Business Insider

The presentation laid out the distinction between quarantine and isolation, which are both being used to quell the spread of infection.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.36.58 PM
AHA webinar
It also pointed to recent literature published on the outbreak showing the number of cases in China per day.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.37.17 PM
AHA webinar
Source: JAMA

Cumulatively, hospitalization rates were going up, especially in Wuhan in the days since the outbreak began.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.37.25 PM
AHA webinar
The presentation also highlighted the different factors that contribute to mortality with the novel coronavirus. The death rate among those 80 and up is significantly higher than other age brackets.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.41.30 PM
AHA webinar
Read more: What to know about the coronavirus outbreak in 9 charts and maps
ore information.

This. It’s a double flu.

In a part of the presentation conducted by Dr. James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center Department of Internal Medicine, he said that he's estimating that the US could have 96 million cases, of which 4.8 million could result in hospital admissions. The slide does not give a particular time frame.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.41.37 PM
AHA webinar
"Those estimates were from Dr. Lawler's presentation and represent his interpretation of the data available. It's possible that forecast will change as more information becomes available," a spokesman for Nebraska Medicine told Business Insider in an email.

In particular, the slide points out that hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times a severe flu season.

Lawler isn't alone in anticipating widespread infections. Marc Lipsitch an epidemiology professor at Harvard University told The Atlantic

based hans

At least they are planning. Ours just wait and hope the pandemic will somehow just stop before it get bad.

"work" as we know it won't be a thing soon.

he predicts anywhere from 40-70% of people globally will be infected with the novel coronavirus within the next year.
Other experts also presented.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.42.46 PM
AHA webinar
The presentation also explored how hospitals can be ready, as HCA's chief of preparedness and emergency operations Mike Wargo presented.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.43.44 PM
AHA webinar
That includes having the team in place to handle an emergency, from clinical teams to teams monitoring the situation, to those making sure there aren't issues getting supplies.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.46.21 PM
AHA webinar
The bulk of the presentation focused on laying out best ways to "identify, isolate" and "inform."
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.46.28 PM
AHA webinar
Here's a look at the clinical criteria used to evaluate potential coronavirus patients.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.46.35 PM
AHA webinar
Source: CDC

As more patients around the US start presenting with symptoms, having a safe way to identify them will be key.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.46.43 PM
AHA webinar
The presenters highlighted the different ways patients might come to the hospital, through the emergency department, by ambulance, and possibly in a number of different conditions.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.46.55 PM
AHA webinar

Someone at my office mentioned our Seattle people were told to stay home for a month and just VPN instead.

The presenters pointed to putting up signage that could help patients identify themselves as someone who could potentially have the novel coronavirus and might need a face mask.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.47.03 PM
AHA webinar
Here's an example of a screening protocol from Nebraska Medicine based on guidelines around travel as an indicator for the disease.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.47.16 PM
AHA webinar
Isolating patients who have a confirmed infection will be key for health systems as well.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.22 PM
AHA webinar
The presenters recommended putting patients in masks who present with respiratory illness symptoms and following good hand hygiene for both healthcare providers and the patients.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.29 PM
AHA webinar
The presenters pointed to guidelines from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for infection control.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.36 PM

Just because commie WA fucked up doesn’t mean the other states will

Why did the Jews create this virus guys?

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AHA webinar
Finally, the experts presented on what hospitals should do to keep their communities informed: both within the hospitals and outside.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.43 PM
AHA webinar
That includes making sure teams are entirely linked up in case cases arise.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.50 PM
AHA webinar
That includes contacting people outside the organization, including local and state public health organizations.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.49.57 PM
AHA webinar
The presentation also laid out what protective equipment is needed for COVID-19.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.50.03 PM
AHA webinar
That includes a face shield, N95 respirator mask, isolation gown and a pair of gloves.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.50.10 PM
AHA webinar
This part of the presentation deals with the importance of communicating about the outbreak within hospitals.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.50.16 PM
AHA webinar
Hospitals need to prepare to communicate with their workers and with the media.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.50.26 PM
AHA webinar
This slide has some best practices developed in Nebraska.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.50.33 PM
AHA webinar
The presentation also included a discussion of supply chain issues for hospitals.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.51.19 PM
AHA webinar
It ends with resources for health systems.
Screen Shot 2020 03 06 at 1.51.25 PM
AHA webinar
The webinar also provided links through which AHA's members could continue reading for m

Join them op. They call your name

>480,000
Doubt.jpeg

At least they are doing something.

Again, population wise who gives a fuck. Also it’s gonna be mostly boomers and asians

lmao, the efficiency of capitalism

meanwhile the epidemic is already contained in China

what city? i wonder if kaiser will do this. sac here and i hear people coughing everywhere now, im thinking of quitting work and staying NEET for the next 6 months

Just think of all the real estate that's going to come on the market.

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>480,000
The most conservative estimation of total affected population is 30%, or about 98 million. (in reality it will be far more than that)
20% of victims are serious and requires being hospitalized, and 80% are mild.
Consider that all mild victims will live, all serious victims who are hospitalized will live, and all other serious victims will die. (in reality the death toll will be more)
That is a total of 30% * 20% = 6% of total population that will be serious victims.
This will overwhelm the health system in any country in the world. Consider that 1% of total population will be hospitalized (using the highest standard from Japan/Korea, unrealistic in US)

This still leaves 5% of total population in the US that will be dead.
329 227 746 * 5% = 16 461 387
That means in the best possible case, over 16 million people will die in the US.

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Fake and gay

meh. no big deal

A city in SoCal north of LA

No it isn't.

>Frustrated by the lack of testing resulting from the problem with the CDC-developed kit, the Seattle Flu Study began using an in-house developed test to look for Covid-19 in samples from people who had flu-like symptoms but who had tested negative for flu. That work — permissible because it was research — uncovered the Snohomish County teenager.

We only even know about coronavirus being in the USA because a seattle area flu study circumvented the CDC and created their own test kit under the guise of medical research.

This means all 49 other states are covering up cases + deaths.

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Yeah. But the ICUs are gonna get fucked.

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wired.com/1998/11/israels-ethnic-weapon/
they've had it for over 2 decades

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>it’s gonna be mostly boomers
People keep saying that but all the high profile deaths in the news have been normal healthy people not too old, like that doctor who first raised alarm about the disease in China, or the Iranian government officials.
Kind of strange the guy (in his early 30s) who first discovered it would get that sick and die if it were just some flu thing that killed the elderly who were already on their way out. If someone you knew from work in their early 30s died from the flu wouldn't you think that was a bit strange and unexpected?

>33
33
>33

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still tryin to get the fuckin screenshots

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a 44yo healthy male with no prior health conditions and a teenager already died in WA.

how many infected do you think are down there now? do you have access to stats from the hospital like pneumonia cases from the last 5 months? im really starting to think corona was here in the USA a lot earlier

Go back to your shoe factory and get pulled into a machine.