Oldfag here that went throught 2 halvings. I honestly don't like this. This may be the first time we hit a lower low post-halving. That would be a brutal bottom that would get rid of permabulls and moonboys on Youtube. I can't help but cringe at all those casuals with their clickbait thumbnail spamming videos. Those guys need to capitulate, a lower bottom post halving would be brutal and would finally kill altcoins as well. After that, I would feel safe going all in. Right now, I can't even be sure to put 10k on it "Just in case due pre-halving". Also, proving Bitcoin can survive a lower low post halving would set a extremely bullish case in the future, since a lot of people think it would be the end of the world (it wouldn't) and this constant paranoia would be there.
When you still have a bunch of idiots thinking they can get rich with their pretend Bitcoin, clickbait all over social media and so on, you already know Bitcoin is not ready for prime time. This sheep has to be removed before real money comes, and if real money sees a margin in liquidating a bunch of idiots back to $2.8k they will.