Y-you understand probability, right user? How are you going to make it if you can’t even accurately determine your chance of success?
-You are on a game show, and want to win a lambo. There are three doors in front of you, and you may select one of them to open. Behind one is the car; behind the other two are goats.
You choose a door to open. But before opening it, the host opens one of the two doors you didn’t choose- the host, who knows what’s behind each door, will always open a door with a goat.
The host then gives you a choice. Do you want to stay with the original door you selected, or switch to the second unopened door? What will give you the best chance of winning the car? Do you stay, switch, or does it not matter?