Yes, and the fact that you have a green ball in your hand means there is a 2/3rds chance that you have selected box 1.
Can Yas Forums into probability?
Step 1
>pick a ball that is green from the crate
Step 2
>Flip a coin that lands either green or red
That is this problem in a nutshell. A coin flip cannot be 1/3 in chance. There is a 50-50 chance of it being green or red
You have two boxes.
Box 1 has one million apples
Box 2 has one apple and 999,999 bananas
You randomly choose a box, stick your hand in, and pull out an apple.
Which box did it probably come from? Is it a 50/50 coin flip because there are two boxes?
doesnt matter, we only are asked what the chance is after we have picked a green ball. and this ball can only have come from 1 or 2
its doesnt mater because all instances of a red ball are ignored. there is no difference between box 1 and 2 there is a 100% chance we get a green ball because thats the part where we start calculating. we ignore all instances where we pulled a red ball from box 2
For everyone to be able to participate in TACHYON Network, Tachyon has lower the requirements for staking...
We all can stake now..
hurr durr muh 1/2
kys brainlet, pic related
Already saying I've picked a green ball creates an axiom that eliminates the 3rd box and even selecting a box from existence.
yes because you ignore all the times you picked a banana. in fact you just showed it is a 50% chance
yeah. Both boxes have apples that can be picked out from them. It equally could have been either one.
Ok I've reconsidered
There's no reason to separate them into boxes at all, it's better to think of it as putting all the balls into a black bag and pulling two random ones.
In this this case, your odds of pulling a green ball the first time is 1/2, and the odds of pulling one a second time is 2/5,
so there is a 20% probability (unless i'm a retard and fucked the math)