If I had gone full bear a week earlier, my puts would have been so much cheaper
Benjamin Thompson
I'm still holding my puts from last Thursday, show me the red tomorrow!
Carson Peterson
Even if they fake and gay pump this shit green as hell, i'm just buying more puts
Aiden Brooks
Yup.
Christian Turner
so how does this shake out perceptually
New York, a non swing perma-blue state is going to be our epicenter it looks like. Will Trump start playing the blame game and mention how well other states are doing yet?
Jaxson Sanders
We are in for the hardest bounce of your life +15% EOW
Tonight after 5pm will be the indication. market24hclock.com/#_ This will tell you which markets are open and which stocks you should watch to determine how the futures: marketwatch.com/investing/future/sp 500 futures Will perform once the CME opens at around 7pm for the weeks trading. Right now we've had a weekend of bad news plus a few other states going on lockdown. Further a few other countries have quarantined and air traffic was even stopped for a bit. The only good news was some testing kit being released that gives results in 45 minutes.
Joseph Hughes
Cuomo literally said on TV that he's expecting the New York lockdown to go on for 9 months, there's been no good news and nothing but bad news. If this shit doesn't go down on Monday the jobs reports on Thursday will send it into freefall.
Jonathan Young
I really wonder what people will think if certain states are relatively unscathed and others tank. Will that be applied to Trump in any way? Will swing voters care about other states by November?
Nicholas Hill
Damnit, looks like Pelosi is stalling on getting the "check" bill passed. They're trying to get it done today. I was looking forward to 2400 extra bucks in April. (I'm married). I was counting on a large part of that to pay myself back.
Aiden Perry
fine men, what is your point of entry and a buy signal? I am waiting for somethign but I dont know yet
Nathaniel Carter
>BREAKING: Merkel announces ban on meetings of over 2 people to fight coronavirus in Germany What..? How the fuck is that suppose to work?
Caleb Rogers
looks like a cool show
Dominic Ramirez
>9 months That's dumb and Fredo is a bad news man.
Evan Sanders
that sounds fucking retarded. source?
Aaron Williams
based, this guy probably as some heavy OTM puts in his inventory
Brody Ward
>tfw your government reduces max meeting size to less than one and you have to disembowel yourself to achieve adequate social distancing sasuga
>But it's priced in. The only thing not priced in is the new stimulus they announce every day. Two trillion today! Ten trillion by next week. Whatever it takes, PUMP IT JEROME AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHH
It's basically a nationwide shutdown with a full curfew being imposed to boot. Obviously families or people living together are exempt, but Germany's basically going into full lockdown mode. Expect the DAX to dip
Yeah but what if a dad and mom walks their kid because they need to get some shit, will they get jumped by cops and fined? Kek'd
Angel Fisher
When the ravagers come less frequently When dogs are safe to approach When the smoke is less acrid When there are more than 3 cans in your ration box HODL
Kayden Clark
BREAKING: Pelosi signals disagreement on massive relief package
Luck, pure luck. Lets see if we time the bottom right.
Logan Peterson
Most people who say "It's priced in" don't actually know how to determine that. Funny enough, when pressed on it, the people making the claim cannot even describe what equation they use to determine "Priced in"
>will they get jumped by cops and fined? they won't because it excludes families
Joshua Brooks
I'm trying to figure out what commodotity stocks to buy at the bottom (thinking around SPY 180 is safe~) I dont want mining companies, because their exposure to the market hurts them overall GLD, SLV, IAU, X, USL? Thoughts/recommendations?
Mason Morris
It's an easy modeling exercise
Take Italy, New York, etc.
Now ignore everything you've seen except those coronavirus events
Now imagine what the world looks like, only including those cities/areas in your projections.
Crypto will pump first and then drop unbelievably hard
Jacob Adams
thanks
Luke Cruz
First time in my life I have a steady job (the virus wont stop it), saving money, paid off debts, and recently thought to myself, "I should start investing!"
Then all this volatility and crashing happened. OK Yas Forums I have nothing in the stock market right now. Literally starting from scratch. I should wait this out some more, right? Wait for it to bottom out and then buy in for long term investing yeah?
>they placed dots in the two National Parks in northern Yukon that are hundreds of kilometers from the nearest community
lmao, it's probably a climate based model, and the parks have permanent weather-recording stations but pretty rediculous
Nathaniel Morgan
Start now!. You can always dollar cost average if it shits more. On the other hand if it goes up your missing out on gains. Your getting a damn good deal now.
Lincoln Brown
S&P 1700 Going in before that +/-99 range is a no go for me.
Blake Nguyen
In exponential problems. It's about how that doubling time is doing. Not anything else.
100 cases is meaningless if it is not growing to 2000
It's not a "how bad is it" problem. It's a criticality problem. If it doesn't go critical you have no problem.
Cooper Rodriguez
Unironically just DCA or lump sum can't go wrong now, you could even go 100% stocks if you think you won't need money soon.
Colton Ortiz
um, why? do you seriously think we bottomed lmao?
Tyler Jones
But if she fucks it up your loosing out on getting a fat wad from the govt.
Jordan Gomez
Buy a gun and shoot yourself with it
Ryan Cook
For instance a city gaining 100 cases a day for the next month, would not be a problem, because it is not going exponential. While someone looking at that would see doom and gloom using basic human psychology.
A steady death rate or infection rate is a positive sign.
- have better weather each day for lowering R0 - have drastically different social behavior and most cancelled public events or reduced them
Whatever the R0 was before it wasn't high enough to lead to quick doubling, and it's lower now and growing lower each day due to season.
The North East is our vulnerable location right now due to seasonality, behavior, and density. You can extrapolate NYC to Miami and say Miami is just 3 weeks behind. It's likely Miami will never experience R0 like NYC until november+
Ian Parker
In our ICU theres a couple if mid 20s with bad pneumonias from the covid. This shit would have definitely killed oldly moldy.
Ayden Jackson
based
Cameron Flores
When SPX breaks 1800, that's when I'm very slowly going to start DCAing back in.
Fed's Bullard has gone on record saying that it's not a recession, it's an investment in public health, so now they're blaming the crash entirely on the virus. Also said they need to print enough money to cover all lost wages and business income. And he thinks that will actually work. Is there any hope left at this point?
The other factor to understand is just like after Italy hit a critical exponential number, it started to export cases at the same exponential rate.
New york will then be exporting cases all over USA, it's important to realize that these are not necessarily signs of community spread.
If a mass spread event happens. The week after actually has more spread due to infected spreading to untouched close contacts afterwards. So a big event will likely show signs of community spread afterwards in terms of infections even if non-organic.
For instance Thailand had a kickboxing event with mass spread, in which afterwards those infected family members would then be infected, showing community spread but probably non-sustainable without singular exceptional events.
Same with Malaysia and a packed muslim gathering featuring lots of international travelers.
This will also be shown in new orleans due to Mardi Gras. With the event on the 25th, then close contact spread the week after, then a reduction in spread after this due to seasonality and natural reasoning.
For those interested, New Orleans, Louisiana over the next few weeks will show this out by not going exponential.
