Www.CovidActNow.com has an interactive map showing when you can expect the hospitals in your state to be overwhelmed. The original projections based on national numbers were for the middle of May, but my state is showing it happening by the end of this week. Several other states look the same.
>unironically praising "wuhan-style lockdown" They welded people into their apartments lol
Landon Lewis
I'm in Virginia, and this website predicts over 400k hospitalizations by early April. I just... dont believe that, at all. We're currently at about 120 hospitalizations.
Isaac Clark
Where do you see “praising” in that post?
Jason Moore
Sorry that was incorrect, were currently at 32 hospitalizations and they're projecting 150k by the end of April. Even still, sounds very very hard to believe.
Camden Richardson
These charts are brought to you by the same people who said ice caps melting in 1988, 1995, 2007, 2020, 2050
>the numbers on the left end in a k oh no thats terrible, we should roll back the economy 400 years
Christian Fisher
That website is dog shit larper nonsense.
Eli Garcia
>Is it really this dire frens? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA no.
That's a realistic number assuming an R0 of 1,33 (i.e. an exponential increase of 33% daily).
The US is currently close to doubling daily infections, which is way above that.
Liam Thomas
I hope it's worse desu
Jaxon Miller
The real redpill is in my metro area, fully 10-15% of people are employed in healthcare in some form and we only have 2k hospital beds. What a fucking joke.
Ryan James
anyone capable independent thought can see that no action is by far the best option.
Samuel Lee
>is it really this dire no those "projections" are so fucking (probably intentionally) off base with reality
The covid-19 tests are for genes that if found individually result in a negative test, but found together result in a positive test. What are the chances of it being two false positives? How accurate are these tests? 86% of infected show no symptoms, sounds like BULLSHIT to me. It's exactly like the HIV hoax! Guys, the chances of a bacteria mutating to survive in a new species is very small, but the chances of a virus mutating across species is ZERO. It has never happened, never will happen, and probably never could happen. The only way humans can get a virus or flu from another species is if it is injected into them, period. And the chances of it going across species multiple times? It can not happen, ever. Dogs, cats, sheep, pigs, and others have tested positive for this COVID-19. It's fucking impossible. All signs point to the testing being a false positive. It's just like the HIV hoax. West Nile Virus, SARS, AIDS, and Hepatitis C are all invented by the CDC. The testing is even similar to HIV, which is fake. The statistics make ABSOLUTELY NO SENSE. Watch this documentary House of Numbers on how the CDC and world governments invented the AIDS epidemic out of nowhere: youtu.be/BsT4GrimfLQ
Do NOT get tested. Do NOT take any drugs they give you. And for the love of jesus christ up above in heaven DO NOT GET VACCINATED. Thousands of people died to the h1n1 vaccine. The spanish flu was created by vaccinations. All viruses are symbiotic with humans in that they detoxify the body of toxic cells to prevent aging, especially in the respiratory system. They have been evolving with us for billions of years. They are manufactured within the cells. They are not foreign invaders that hijack your cell's reproductive process. It is a symbiotic process. They are as much a part of us as the rest of our immune system. ANY deadly virus is either man-made from vaccines or made up.
Isaiah Rodriguez
>weld infected people inside their homes or >let possibly infected people travel to Florida, have mass gatherings, then fly back
Hmm, I wonder which one of these will actually help???
Nathan Bailey
>muh economy is more important to me than the lives of my parents and grandparents
Will you really be praising the economic growth of your bosses while they’re stuffing you’re parents corpses into body bags? I would say it sounds very Jewish but you won’t actually be benefitting from it, so really it’s just idiotic.
only works if youre retarded and assume that the rate of hospitalization is independent from testing. old people will get sick as they always do and they'll test positive for a half dozen things like they always do and their death will be blamed on the pathogen most likely to be approved by insurance like it always is. chink flu is a hoax. stop helping them spread it.
Adrian Parker
Also can anybody explain to me why they just assume that it will stop at 100k if it's uncontrolled?
Jaxon Jackson
SCREENSHOT ALL STATES MAY 15 (or peak) TO COMPARE NUMBERS ON ACTUAL DATE
THEN WE CAN MEME THE FUCK OUT OF THESE SHILLS
Logan Reyes
Do a comparison graph with Influenza and Tuburculosis
Jordan Lee
>only a Whuan-style lockdown can save New York now
take it at face value and its still nothing. assuming this is only for the US, fewer than 0.2% of people would be hospitalized. that means fewer than 1 of every 500 people you know would be hospitalized. do you know 500 people? I dont.
Noah Smith
This.
Everyone ought take a moment to really understand exponential growth.
Imagine a petri dish with a bacteria culture. This culture doubles every minute. If I tell you this bacteria will have spread to the entire dish in 60 minutes at what time will the dish be half full?
59 minutes.
This is why the severe response for what is otherwise not really any more lethal than the flu. The symptoms can be severe enough to demand intensive care, and where you still have half your beds one day, the next day you will be exceeding capacity.
ASSUMING everyone had perfect access to medical care, respirators, etc, yeah. It wouldn't be very lethal.
Once hospitals are swamped however, it won't just be corona killing people.
youre ingoring that 99.9% of the dish isnt mortally affected by the growth of the virus. doesnt matter if 8 billion people catch it, its no more deadly than dozens of other diseases commonly in circulation.
Sebastian Johnson
Unironically, this.
Brandon Nelson
>its no more deadly than dozens of other diseases commonly in circulation. So it's "just the flu"?
Let the hospitals be overwhelmed idgaf. Better than shutting down the entire economy and implementing world communism.
Evan Cox
I addressed exactly that.
>Once hospitals are swamped however, it won't just be corona killing people.
It's not a matter of how lethal it is on its own. The toll will be on whom else suffering from what else, including corona, that will die from lack of medical care.
Caleb Powell
Those who know, know. This isn't "a flu" or "a cold" And we don't know most of it. Time will tell what happens to people who contracted it and I am not taking any chances with myself or my family.
Lucas Bailey
Nobody is denying that.
Nicholas Ward
Exactly. Wife having a kid? Better do it at home. Appendix about to burst? Better dig it out yourself. Get run over by a drunk Mexican? Suck it up; hospitals full.
Adrian Clark
China MUST close all research labs about biological weapons and NEVER let they do that kind of stuff again.
If they don't comply it is war with the rest of the planet.
Michael Lopez
Can't the hospitals just go to IKEA and buy more beds?
Blake Gomez
>It's just like the HIV hoax. West Nile Virus, SARS, AIDS, and Hepatitis C are all invented by the CDC. Now THIS is schizoposting.
Aiden Russell
So the moment you go from "shelter-in-place" to "social distancing" or "no action", you're just going to see the same spike in cases at that later date? What's the point?
Michael Parker
This suggests that Whitmer needs to act now to shut us down. Here is West Michigan, things were really, really quiet this weekend. Most people are just not going out except for work and necessities. Shelter in place would close down everything, but workers and many employers would need lots of help to stay afloat. It's a really hard choice between stopping the virus and allowing people to keep food on the table. If the Feds acted on a decent relief plan, it might be easier for governors to close down.
Jace Roberts
Imagine being so Jewish you’d rather have your parents stuffed into a body bag than have the economy slow down for a few weeks.
Colton Myers
Most people here are low IQ, so don't waste your time. Their grandparents, aunts, uncles, and neighbors dying will make more sense to them.
Shut up pussy. This virus is a meme and the more rights we give up the worse it will be.
James Evans
Nice projection, kike. No one even remotely healthy is going to be killed by this meme virus.
Angel Reyes
Wasn't Wuhan-Style lockdown just condemning a city and all of its inhabitants to die?
Ryan Hernandez
They aren't testing most people who have it. That's deaths to confirmed cases.
Ayden Price
yes. thats exactly what the flu looks like every year. maybe a little better because they dont usually bother testing 95 year olds who are ready to die and dont give a fuck if insurance will cover it.
Ryder Rivera
Fuck off Trumptard
Nicholas Wood
checked to the max
Cooper Brooks
Yes. That's one sure fire way of not overloading the healthcare system
Matthew Torres
Hopefully high school will reopen soon so you can learn how to read a graph.
Alexander Kelly
If we did that for the whole country then this would all be ogre in 2 weeks.
Isaiah Thomas
> model based on euro/asia results > even France, Italy, Germany (close in relative proximity) have different results > US is bigger, less crowded, with less pollution
Aren’t autists supposed to be good with numbers?
Dylan Garcia
Nurse in Pgh PA here. Hospitals are legit empty. Electives cancelled and people are too scared to come anywhere near a hospital. We think this is the calm before the storm.
Tyler Ramirez
>>unironically praising "wuhan-style lockdown" You will be in one month after it's too late.
Just like you praise a total ban of all travel abroad now, which is too late.
True, but that's only one. Also, I suspect AHN is testing at a much higher rate than UPMC.
Austin James
look up video about exponentials, you have no intuition about it.
it starts slow and then the last 3-6 days in april will be MASSIVE bursts of 2x 2x 2x
Noah Campbell
>shit going down that fast Lol this is here to stay
Colton Rodriguez
UPMC
Mason Taylor
do you know how health insurance works? first you get sick then you see a nurse to record your metrics then you talk to a doctor for 5 minutes so you feel like its legitimate then the nurse bills out whatever code gets them paid the most for your metrics and the doctor signs any relevant scripts. nobody is willing to push back against chink flu right now so guess how everyone is being coded